How Do Biden’s Long-Range Missile Moves Reshape Global Power Trends?

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President Biden’s authorization for Ukraine to use long-range missiles against Russia marks a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy, potentially escalating the conflict and reshaping global power dynamics.

At a Glance

  • Biden authorizes Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles against Russian territory
  • ATACMS have a range of 190 miles and can carry a 500-pound payload
  • Decision comes amid concerns of a Russian counteroffensive bolstered by North Korean support
  • Move contrasts with Trump’s promise of immediate peace negotiations
  • Experts warn of increased risks and potential for conflict escalation

Biden’s Bold Move: Arming Ukraine with Long-Range Missiles

The Biden administration has taken a significant step in the ongoing Ukraine-Russia conflict by authorizing Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) for strikes deeper into Russian territory. This decision marks a departure from previous policies aimed at avoiding direct confrontation with Russia.

ATACMS are short-range ballistic missiles with a range of approximately 190 miles, surpassing the capabilities of previously supplied British and French missiles. These weapons travel at Mach 3, making them difficult to intercept, and can carry a payload of up to 500 pounds, allowing for significant impact on strategic targets.

Strategic Implications and Potential Consequences

The authorization of ATACMS use comes at a critical juncture in the conflict. Ukraine faces challenges in mobilizing troops and maintaining its position, particularly in the Kursk region. The U.S. aims to disrupt Russian operational reach by enabling Ukraine to target assembly areas, ammunition sites, and airfields with these advanced missiles.

However, this move is not without risks. Russia has responded by updating its nuclear doctrine, lowering the threshold for nuclear weapon use, and reserving the right to respond to long-range missile strikes. While the White House downplays these changes as consistent with past rhetoric, the potential for escalation remains a serious concern.

Contrasting Approaches: Biden vs. Trump

The decision to authorize ATACMS use stands in stark contrast to the approach advocated by President-elect Donald Trump. While Biden’s administration seeks to strengthen Ukraine’s position through military means, Trump has promised to negotiate an immediate end to the conflict, leveraging his relationships with both Russian and Ukrainian leaders.

This divergence in strategies has sparked debate among experts and policymakers. Some critics argue that Biden’s decision introduces new risks without clear national security benefits for the United States. A recent Gallup poll indicates that 52% of Ukrainians favor negotiating a peace deal with Russia over continuing the conflict, adding another layer of complexity to the situation.

Global Implications and Future Outlook

The authorization of ATACMS use by Ukraine could have far-reaching consequences beyond the immediate conflict zone. It may encourage other allies, such as Poland and Romania, to supply similar weapons to Ukraine, potentially altering the balance of power in the region. Additionally, the move is seen as a strategic response to growing support Russia receives from North Korea, including troops and artillery shells.

As the conflict enters this new phase, the international community watches closely. The coming months will be critical in determining whether this escalation leads to a breakthrough for Ukraine or further prolongs the conflict. With Trump’s inauguration approaching and his promise of swift negotiations, the geopolitical landscape remains fluid and unpredictable.

Sources:

What Ukraine Can Now Do with Longer-Range US Missiles − and How That Could Affect the Course of the War

For Russia, Nuclear Weapons Are the Ultimate Bargaining Chip

‘Everything Has Changed Now’: Biden Spends Last Months In Office Gambling Risk Of Nuclear War With Russia