Record Homelessness Predicted in 2024: Migration Spike to Blame

Person sleeping on a bench in a public area.

The United States is on track to hit a grim milestone in 2024 as homelessness reaches unprecedented levels, fueled by a surge of migrants in major cities.

At a Glance

  • Early data projects about 550,000 people without stable housing in 2024, a 10% increase from 2023
  • Migrants are contributing significantly to the homeless population, especially in family shelters
  • Major cities like New York, Chicago, and Denver are experiencing substantial increases in homelessness
  • High rents and low incomes remain primary drivers of overall homelessness
  • The homelessness crisis is putting strain on city resources and sparking public debate

Record-Breaking Homelessness Projections

The United States is bracing for a potential record high in homelessness as we move into 2024. Early data from over 250 homeless-service groups paints a concerning picture, projecting about 550,000 people without stable housing. This marks a stark 10% rise from the previous year, continuing a troubling trend that saw homelessness reach a record high of 653,104 people in January 2023.

The surge in homelessness is not evenly distributed across the country. Major cities, particularly those with legal shelter mandates, are bearing the brunt of this crisis. New York City and Los Angeles alone contain one-quarter of the country’s unhoused people, highlighting the concentration of this issue in urban areas.

Migrant Influx Exacerbates the Crisis

A significant factor contributing to the rise in homelessness is the influx of migrants into major U.S. cities. This surge is putting unprecedented pressure on already strained shelter systems and social services. In Massachusetts, migrants make up a substantial portion of the homeless population in family shelters, with the state expecting to spend over $1 billion on housing migrants this fiscal year.

The impact of this migrant surge is particularly evident in cities like Chicago and Denver. Chicago’s homeless population has tripled to over 18,800 in January, while Denver experienced a staggering 42% increase in its homeless population due to the migrant influx. These numbers underscore the immense challenges cities face in providing adequate shelter and resources to a rapidly growing homeless population.

Broader Factors Contributing to Homelessness

While the migrant crisis is a significant factor, it’s crucial to note that high rents and low incomes remain primary drivers of homelessness across the board. The housing affordability crisis continues to push many Americans to the brink, with single mothers particularly vulnerable to housing instability. The number of chronically homeless individuals has been increasing annually since 2016, nearly doubling during that span.

The homeless population in America is disproportionately composed of racial minorities. Nearly two-thirds of the nation’s unhoused individuals are Black or Hispanic/Latino, despite these groups comprising only one-third of the country’s population. This disparity highlights the intersection of racial inequality and housing insecurity in America.

Responses and Challenges Ahead

In response to the growing crisis, the homelessness response system has added more temporary and permanent beds, resulting in a 14% increase in shelter use. Additionally, more people exited temporary housing to permanent housing in 2023 compared to 2022, showing some progress in addressing the issue. However, the scale of the problem continues to outpace these efforts.

Faith-based organizations play a crucial role in addressing homelessness, with about 75% of emergency shelter beds in the US located in faith-based facilities. This underscores the importance of community and religious institutions in providing immediate relief to those experiencing homelessness.

As the United States grapples with this escalating crisis, the need for comprehensive and coordinated solutions becomes ever more apparent. The intersection of immigration policy, housing affordability, and social services presents complex challenges that will require innovative approaches and significant resources to address effectively.

Sources:

  1. US homelessness explodes after hitting record last year as migrants flood streets
  1. State of Homelessness: 2024 Edition
  1. Homelessness in America: Statistics, Analysis, and Trends
  1. More of America’s homeless are clocking into jobs each day