Review of: Miami-Dade County Sees Republican Shift in Early and Mail-In Voting Trends

Two directional signs: Republicans and Democrats.

Miami-Dade County’s Republican shift in early and mail-in voting has surprised many, as this traditional Democratic area flipped to Republican control in recent elections.

At a Glance

  • Miami-Dade County shifted to Republican control in early and mail-in voting.
  • Statewide, Republicans lead Democrats in early and mail-in voting with 44.20% to 35.54%.
  • Republicans maintain a significant lead in early in-person voting, while Democrats lead in mail-in ballots.
  • Florida’s overall political landscape is shifting with Republicans having more registered voters.

Miami-Dade County Voting Trends

Traditionally a Democratic stronghold, Miami-Dade County has flipped to Republican control in early and mail-in voting. This marks a significant shift, reflecting a broader change in Florida’s political landscape. The latest data shows Republicans leading the state with 44.20% of early and mail-in votes combined, while Democrats trail with 35.54%. Miami-Dade County’s voting trends are noteworthy, particularly given its historical Democratic lean.

Republicans excel in early in-person voting with 54.14% compared to Democrats’ 26.99%. In contrast, Democrats hold a slight lead in mail-in voting with 42.29% of the votes, ahead of Republicans’ 36.35%. The county’s Republican shift follows the 2020 election pattern, which supported both Gov. Ron DeSantis and Sen. Marco Rubio. This demonstrates the evolving political dynamics of Miami-Dade and Florida as a whole.

Statewide Republican Momentum

Republican voters now outnumber Democratic voters in Florida, reinforcing the state’s non-battleground status. With Republican dominance and the influence of former President Trump, the state’s political dynamic has shifted markedly. Early voting has seen Republicans surpass Democratic turnout, flipping the turnout margin. Initially leading in 66 of 67 counties, Democrats found themselves overtaken by Republicans by the end of the first day of early voting. “At the end of the day, it’s all about turnout. These early numbers make it clear that Florida Republicans are energized to vote.” – Republican Party Chair Evan Power remarked.

Over 2 million votes have already been cast, with Republicans energized to vote. Despite leading in populous urban counties, Democrats face challenges in places like Duval County, where Republicans have made inroads. This growing conservative sentiment could signal a preference for in-person voting among Republicans.

Implications for Future Elections

The shifting dynamics in Miami-Dade and the state signal broader trends that could affect future elections. While Florida’s Republican voter registration advantage continues to grow, the law requiring voters to request a new mail ballot might influence turnout. As nearly 20 million Americans have voted early nationwide, Florida remains under keen observation for its unique voting patterns.

Sources:

Blue Miami-Dade Flips Red In Early, Mail-in Voting Combined

As early voting gets underway, Republicans across Florida quickly surpass Democratic turnout

Blue Miami-Dade Flips Red In Early and Mail-in Voting Combined